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Horsegears ratings compared
to performance
In the past
assessing potential racehorses by conformation has
predominantly been based on traditional correct and show
type conformation. But as this type of conformation is not a
prime factor in adding speed to a racehorse, breeding
has been the prime consideration when seriously
analyzing the speed potential of any horse. However
"Gears theory" has now given conformation a genuine
prediction purpose, as the theory is used solely to rate
the speed potential of a horse, with a strong bias to
levering, as opposed to correct & show type conformation.
So what is the relationship
between modern conformation ratings and racehorse
performance? How accurately can conformation now be
applied to assess a young Thoroughbreds racetrack potential?
We have found Thoroughbreds will usually perform in a manner
consistent with their Horsegears conformation ratings. The table
below can be used as a guide as to what to expect from
horses based on their Horsegears ratings only.
| Good class /
Stakes class |
99 Plus |
Over 80% of the all-time
Champions come from this bracket |
| Good class
winner |
98 + |
|
| Multiple winner |
96 + |
|
| Maiden winner |
93 + |
|
| Non winner |
93 or lower |
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Like breeding,
conformation ratings should be used as a guide only,
but significantly most horses can be expected to perform according to
the relevant class shown in the above table, or a class either above or below.
A superbly bred horse may win races with poor
conformation due to other inherited traits such as it
energy system or muscle quality.
Note. Genuine champion
racehorses will generally
rate between 100 and 102. But most horses that rate
above 100 will not be champions, rather Group or good
class winners.
One thing will never
change with racehorses, and that is, there will always
be exemptions to the rules. Whether by horses defying their breeding,
conformation, training etc. Conformation wise, a
number Group/grade winners will rate
lowly, just as a number of highly rated horses will
battle just to win a race. Many factors ultimately
influence a horses potential including its breeding,
upbringing, soundness, energy system, training, and will
to win.
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